Corn and soybeans were the only exception as new model-based 2025 production estimates from Agriculture Canada showed increases from last month for all other principal crops.
The model-based estimates – based on remote sensing and climate data up to July 31, 2025 – were released Wednesday as part of the government’s regular monthly supply-demand update.
National corn output is now estimated by Ag Canada at 15.25 million tonnes, down 200,000 from the July forecast and now below the previous year’s crop of 15.345 million. With the planted and harvested area estimates steady from last month, all the decline is due to a lower average yield estimate of 164.1 bu/acre. That is down from 166.3 bu in July and 168.7 bu a year earlier.
Soybean production is pegged at 7.11 million tonnes, compared to 7.425 million in July and 7.568 million in 2024. At 45.9 bu/acre, the average expected nationwide yield is down from 48 bu in July and 49.2 bu in 2024. Soybean planted and harvested area for 2025 was likewise unchanged from last month.
Although the largest corn and soybean production province of Ontario saw some relief earlier this week, scorching heat and a lack of rain – especially from late July through most of August – has stressed many crops. Crops in Eastern Ontario and into Quebec have been particularly hard hit by the weather. Large portions of Manitoba have also suffered from dryness this growing season.
